Crowd Intelligence
Aggregated from 51 brackets — 31 classic · 20 pro
Tournament Awards
Predicted Champion
- Portugal14%
- France12%
- Spain8%
- Brazil6%
- Argentina6%
- Scotland2%
- United States2%
- Ghana2%
Runner-up
- Spain16%
- England8%
- Netherlands6%
- Germany6%
- Brazil4%
3rd Place
- Spain12%
- Argentina10%
- Portugal10%
- France6%
- Belgium2%
Golden Boot
- 1Lamine Yamal6 picks
- 2Kylian Mbappé5 picks
- 3Cristiano Ronaldo4 picks
- 4Lionel Messi4 picks
- 5Osimhen2 picks
- 6Harry Kane2 picks
- 7Raúl Jiménez1 pick
Best Player (Golden Ball)
- 1Lamine Yamal5 picks
- 2Lionel Messi4 picks
- 3Cristiano Ronaldo3 picks
- 4Haaland3 picks
- 5Kylian Mbappé3 picks
- 6Erling Haaland2 picks
- 7Vinicius Jr2 picks
Group Stage Consensus
Based on Classic bracket submissions. Each cell shows what percentage of users predicted that team to finish in that position.
- Mexico61%22%17%—
- South Korea26%43%22%4%
- South Africa9%13%39%39%
- Czechia4%22%17%52%
- Canada39%52%9%—
- Switzerland30%17%30%17%
- Qatar22%13%30%30%
- Bosnia & Herzegovina9%17%26%48%
- Brazil87%13%——
- Morocco13%61%9%17%
- Haiti—13%30%52%
- Scotland—13%57%26%
- United States35%35%17%13%
- Paraguay35%22%26%13%
- Australia17%26%30%22%
- Türkiye13%17%22%48%
- Germany78%4%9%9%
- Curaçao9%9%30%48%
- Ivory Coast9%4%48%35%
- Ecuador4%83%9%4%
- Netherlands61%9%22%9%
- Sweden22%35%39%—
- Japan17%57%26%—
- Tunisia——9%87%
- Belgium57%39%4%—
- New Zealand26%13%13%43%
- Iran13%22%39%22%
- Egypt4%26%39%30%
- Spain83%9%4%4%
- Saudi Arabia13%4%57%22%
- Uruguay4%83%4%9%
- Cape Verde—4%30%61%
- France78%9%4%9%
- Iraq13%9%9%65%
- Senegal4%35%48%13%
- Norway4%48%35%9%
- Argentina91%4%4%—
- Algeria4%13%30%52%
- Jordan4%4%52%35%
- Austria—78%9%9%
- Portugal78%9%9%4%
- DR Congo9%4%52%30%
- Colombia9%83%4%4%
- Uzbekistan4%4%30%57%
- England83%13%—4%
- Croatia9%70%13%4%
- Ghana4%9%43%43%
- Panama4%9%39%43%
Knockout Predictions
Most popular teams to advance through each round, based on Classic brackets. Bars scaled relative to the top pick in each round.
Predicted to advance · Round of 32
- Spain65%
- Argentina65%
- Germany61%
- Brazil61%
- France58%
- Portugal58%
- Mexico58%
- England58%
31 classic brackets
Predicted to advance · Round of 16
- Spain65%
- Brazil58%
- Germany42%
- France42%
- England42%
- Argentina32%
- Belgium29%
- Portugal26%
31 classic brackets
Predicted to advance · Quarter-finals
- Spain55%
- France32%
- Argentina29%
- Brazil26%
- Portugal26%
- Netherlands19%
- Germany19%
- Ecuador13%
31 classic brackets
Predicted to advance · Semi-finals
- Spain35%
- France19%
- Portugal16%
- Germany13%
- Netherlands10%
- Brazil10%
- Argentina10%
- England10%
31 classic brackets
Predicted to advance · Final
- France16%
- Spain13%
- Portugal13%
- Brazil6%
- Argentina6%
- Germany3%
- England3%
- Ecuador3%
31 classic brackets
Match Score Averages (Pro)
Average of all Pro bracket score predictions per match. Useful for spotting over/under lines and identifying matches the crowd expects to be close.
Goal Fests — Highest Expected Goals
- South Korea2.6–1.2Czechia3.9 goals
- France2.2–1.5Iraq3.7 goals
- United States1.7–1.8Australia3.5 goalsCoin-flip
- Brazil2.1–1.4Haiti3.5 goals
- Colombia1.7–1.8Portugal3.5 goalsCoin-flip
- England1.6–1.8Croatia3.4 goalsCoin-flip
- Switzerland1.8–1.6Bosnia & Herzegovina3.4 goalsCoin-flip
- New Zealand1.7–1.8Egypt3.4 goalsCoin-flip
- Tunisia1.5–1.9Netherlands3.4 goals
- Canada1.5–1.8Bosnia & Herzegovina3.3 goalsCoin-flip
Tight Affairs — Closest Predicted Goal Diff
- Belgium1.2–1.2Iran2.3 goalsCoin-flip
- DR Congo1.2–1.2Uzbekistan2.3 goalsCoin-flip
- Algeria1.4–1.4Austria2.8 goalsCoin-flip
- Brazil1.3–1.3Morocco2.6 goalsCoin-flip
- Haiti1.5–1.4Scotland2.9 goalsCoin-flip
- Australia1.1–1.2Türkiye2.3 goalsCoin-flip
- France1.6–1.5Senegal3.1 goalsCoin-flip
- Scotland1.2–1.1Morocco2.3 goalsCoin-flip
- Türkiye1.5–1.4Paraguay2.9 goalsCoin-flip
- Uruguay1.5–1.4Cape Verde2.9 goalsCoin-flip
Betting Guide
Derived from the crowd's collective predictions. Not financial advice — use as a reference point when assessing market odds.
Strong Consensus
High agreement among predictors — market odds may undervalue these.
- Argentina finishes 1st in Group J91%
91% of brackets agree
- Brazil finishes 1st in Group C87%
87% of brackets agree
- Tunisia finishes 4th in Group F87%
87% of brackets agree
- Ecuador finishes 2nd in Group E83%
83% of brackets agree
- Spain finishes 1st in Group H83%
83% of brackets agree
- Uruguay finishes 2nd in Group H83%
83% of brackets agree
- Colombia finishes 2nd in Group K83%
83% of brackets agree
- England finishes 1st in Group L83%
83% of brackets agree
- Germany finishes 1st in Group E78%
78% of brackets agree
- France finishes 1st in Group I78%
78% of brackets agree
- Austria finishes 2nd in Group J78%
78% of brackets agree
- Portugal finishes 1st in Group K78%
78% of brackets agree
- Croatia finishes 2nd in Group L70%
70% of brackets agree
- Iraq finishes 4th in Group I65%
65% of brackets agree
Toss-ups
Crowd is split — the market may have it more right than the favourite suggests.
Not enough data yet — needs more brackets.
Dark Horses
Lower-ranked teams with surprisingly high advancement predictions — potential upsets.
- Paraguay — Group D (FIFA #38)57%
57% predict them to advance despite FIFA rank #38
- Sweden — Group F (FIFA #36)57%
57% predict them to advance despite FIFA rank #36
- New Zealand — Group G (FIFA #86)39%
39% predict them to advance despite FIFA rank #86
- Qatar — Group B (FIFA #53)35%
35% predict them to advance despite FIFA rank #53
- Czechia — Group A (FIFA #42)26%
26% predict them to advance despite FIFA rank #42
- Bosnia & Herzegovina — Group B (FIFA #75)26%
26% predict them to advance despite FIFA rank #75
- South Africa — Group A (FIFA #56)22%
22% predict them to advance despite FIFA rank #56
- Iraq — Group I (FIFA #57)22%
22% predict them to advance despite FIFA rank #57
Predictions update every 5 minutes. Not financial advice.